Writing

Working papers

“Machine learning for missing data on illicit trade”.

“Machine learning to combat wicked problems: an application to illicit finance”.

“Illicit financial flows from trade misinvoicing and their implication for financing for development” (with William Davis and Gamal Ibrahim). Data Code

Publications

Peer-reviewed

“Unilateral climate policies can substantially reduce national carbon pollution” (with Matto Mildenberger), Climatic Change, 166:31, 2021. Paper Data Code

“Europe Beyond Aid: Assessing European countries’ individual and collective commitment to development” (with Owen Barder, Julia Clark, David Roodman, and Liza Reynolds), Journal of International Development, 25:6, 832-853, 2013. Paper

Other papers

“Vulnerability and Exposure to Illicit Financial Flows risk in Latin America” (with Alex Cobham, Javier Garcia-Bernardo, Moran Harari, Shanna Lima, Markus Meinzer, Lidana Montoya Fernández, and Luis Moreno), Tax Justice Network, 2021. Paper Code

“Vulnerability and Exposure to Illicit Financial Flows risk in Africa” (with Charles Abugre, Alex Cobham, Rachel Etter-Phoya, Markus Meinzer, Nara Monkam, and Alvin Mosioma), Tax Justice Network, 2019. Paper Code

“Technical Background Note for Chapter 5: Cheaper, Cooler, Faster: Reducing Tropical Deforestation for a More Cost-Effective Global Response to Climate Change” in Why Forests? Why Now? (with Jonah Busch and Jens Engelmann), CGD Background Paper, 2016. Paper

“SkyShares: Modelling the Economic Implications of a Future Global Emissions Budget” (with Owen Barder and Alex Evans), CGD Policy Paper Series, Policy Paper 067, 2015. Paper Media coverage

“Modelling SkyShares. Technical background” (with Owen Barder and Alex Evans), 2015. Paper

“A global emissions budget” in Climate 2020 - Facing the future (with Owen Barder and Alex Evans), Report by the United Nations Association - UK, 2015. Paper

Annex IV of “Track it! Stop it! Get it!” (with Alex Cobham), Report of the High Level Panel on Illicit Financial Flows from Africa, Commissioned by the AU/ECA Conference of Ministers of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, 2015. Paper Media coverage Code

“Europe Beyond Aid: Assessing Europe’s Commitment to Development” (with Owen Barder, Julia Clark, David Roodman, and Liza Reynolds), CGD Working Paper Series, Working Paper 313, 2012. Paper

“SkyShares: An Idea to Stop Climate Change Effectively, Efficiently, and Equitably” (with Arthur Baker), Center for Global Development, December 2019. Link

“Workable Policies to Fight Climate Change and Bridge the Interests of Developing and Industrialized Countries”, SSN Key Findings Brief, May 2018. Link

“Global goals can deliver on 2°C and new development finance - here’s how” (with Owen Barder and Alex Evans), The Guardian, September 2015. Link

“A Global Carbon Tax or Cap-and-Trade? Part 1: The Economic Arguments” (with Owen Barder), Center for Global Development, September 2014. Link

“Setting a Price on Carbon Immediately Is Necessary to Avoid Dangerous Climate Change” (with Owen Barder), Center for Global Development, April 2014. Link

“Nineteenth Time Lucky?” (with Owen Barder), Center for Global Development, November 2013. Link

“Open Ownership: UK Leads” (with Alex Cobham), Center for Global Development, October 2013. Link

“Europe’s Policy Footprint on Development” (with Owen Barder and Liza Reynolds), Center for Global Development, December 2012. Link

Open datasets

“Risk Measures for Illicit Financial Flows Dataset” (with Alex Cobham). Data Code

“Illicit Financial Flows from Trade Mis-Invoicing Dataset”. Data Code